PROGNOSIS AND ANALYTICAL TOOLS THE STRENGTHENING OF ECONOMIC SECURITY IN PROCESS OF RENEWAL THE INDUSTRIAL POTENTIAL

Тетяна Василівна Калінеску, Сергій Сергійович Підмогильний

Abstract


A requirement in the foresight of economic security stipulates the necessity of development and perfection of economic prognostication. Correctly chosen prognosis and analytical tools give information for the acceptance of the self-weighted decisions in relation to renewal and development of present industrial potential. A research aim is a choice of the most expedient prognosis and analytical tool the strengthening of economic security in relation to renewal of industrial potential on the different levels of management: the states, the region and subject of entrepreneurial activity. The methodological basis of research became the methods of dialectics, methods and principles of scientific cognition, tools of economic analysis in relation to forming of certain methodologies of analysis and evaluation of prognosis and analytical tool the strengthening of economic security, that allow to accept correct administrative decisions in war and post-war periods with the aim of proceeding in industrial potential. The basic hypothesis of research is supposition in relation to the choice of the most expedient prognosis and analytical tool the strengthening of economic security that will allow picking up thread industrial potential and extending the spheres of entrepreneurial activity. Exposition of basic material of research. It is well-proven that to the prognosis and analytical tools the strengthening of economic security it is possible to take different models that can be described by any types of equalizations. However these methods can get out arbitrarily, its must answer the objective features the realization of prognoses, experience of activity of front-rank subjects of management in relation to renewal of industrial potentials and got positive results on tactical and strategic levels. World experience testifies that an ideal set of tools is not for realization of prognosis and analytical calculations. Exactly that must be used in every case that answers concrete terms and possibilities of its use. The considered expediency of multivariable application and abstract models, foresight technologies and necessity the structuring of co-operation spheres are in the process of renewal the industrial potential and the strengthening of economic security. Originality and practical meaningfulness of research are confirmed by offered for the choice of prognosis and analytical tools the most expedient methods of prognostication and evaluation the strengthening of economic security and proceeding in industrial potential. Conclusions and prospects of further researches. The conducted research allowed to establish that in the modern terms of renewal the industrial potential there is a requirement in the choice of the most expedient prognosis and analytical tools of acceptance the correct administrative decisions in relation to the strengthening of economic security. The value of prognosis and analytical tools not always is determined by its authenticity, and that, like got results allow accepting correct decisions in relation to renewal of industrial potential and evaluation of its safety and durability. Further researches will be sent to the evaluation of effectiveness the realization of prognosis and analytical tools the strengthening of economic security and renewal of industrial potential with the use of technologies of artificial intelligence.


Keywords


economic security, industrial potential, prognosis and analytical instruments, multivariable and ab-stract models, foresight technologies, structuring of co-operation of subjects

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.32620/cher.2023.3.01

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