STRATEGIC PLANNING AND FORECASTING OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR

Ivanov Valentin

Abstract


Formulation of the problem. The most modern and effective innovation in solving the socio-economic problems of the agricultural sector is strategic planning and forecasting. Now, both in Russia and in its regions, no strategies are being developed for the development of agriculture and other areas of the agri-food sector. The purpose of the article is to develop methodological and practical recommendations for the strategic management of sustainable socio-economic development of agriculture in the Komi Republic. The subject of research is the process of strategic planning and forecasting. Analysis and synthesis, deduction and induction, abstract-logical, historical, statistical, SWOT analysis, expert assessments were used as research methods. Research hypothesis. The current tactical approach should be replaced by the strategic management of the development of the agrarian sector. Presentation of the main material. The content is disclosed and methodological approaches to the strategic management of agricultural development are proposed. The trends in the development of the agricultural industry, its problems and risks are investigated. A strategic analysis is given, strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats to the development of the agricultural sector are assessed. The goals of the Strategy have been determined, a scenario forecast of the results has been made. The priority directions of the Agriculture Development Strategy have been substantiated. The mechanism of the Strategy has been developed. The originality and practical significance of the study lies in the possibility of using the results in the preparation of strategies and programs for the development of the agricultural sector in the regions of the North. Conclusions of the study. The conducted research will ensure a steady growth in agricultural production, an increase in the living standards of peasants.


Keywords


strategic planning, agricultural sector, trends, development risks, strategic analysis, targets, forecast

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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.32620/cher.2021.1.11

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