Models for studying the stability of high-tech productions in modern political and economic conditions

Oleg Fedorovych, Oleg Slomchynskyi, Alina Yelizieva, Leonid Smidovych, Elena Yashina

Abstract


The task of studying the stability of high-tech enterprises (aviation, space, engineering industry) to the manifestation of threats and the occurrence of losses (economical, technological, etc.) is formed and solved. The relevance of this study is connected with the increasing risks that arise in the external environment and lead to the degradation of high-tech enterprises. The risks of functioning and development of high-tech enterprises connected with modern political and economic threats and the consequences of war are analyzed. It is concluded that the stability of high-tech production is one of the actual problems of restoring the country’s economy in the post- military period. Therefore, the topic of the proposed article is relevant, which explores possible ways to ensure the resilience of high-tech enterprises in the conditions of the turbulence of the world economy and the difficulties that arose as a result of the martial law of the country. An analysis of the direct security of the sustainability of high-tech enterprises in the post-military period is carried out. The possible expenses for the security and stability of the enterprise in the conditionals of the risks of causing possible threats (political and economic, climate, terrorist, military) are modeled. A model for the study of logistics processes, the formation of new supply chains of components, in the event of a delivery disruption, has been created. The expenses of restoring the supporting infrastructure of the enterprise because of the consequences of martial law and the aggressor’s actions are analyzed. The process of relocation (evacuation) of enterprises to new places is modeled as an example of ensuring the sustainability of enterprises during the war period. A simulation model is created to study the impact of threats and the emergence of expenses, to adopt preventive measures to ensure the sustainability of an enterprise. The scientific novelty of this study is connected with the development of a set of models that help to directly study the stability of high-tech enterprises to contemporary challenges and threats. The results of the research can be useful for modeling preventive action plans before the appearance of threats and expenses that improve the stability and reliability of the functioning of high-tech enterprises.

Keywords


stability of an enterprise; threats to enterprise functioning; excitation of vulnerabilities; occurrence of losses; preventive measures; modeling of threats

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.32620/aktt.2023.4.12